张旭斌
硕士生导师博士,研究员,硕士生导师,现任中国气象局/广东省区域数值天气预报重点实验室副主任。入选中国气象局第二批气象部门青年英才计划(2015)、广东省气象局首批青年英才计划(2014)与首批广东省气象高层次科技创新人才计划“气象领军人才”(2021);获得广东省气象科技杰出青年奖(2021)。主要从事集合预报、资料同化、中小尺度数值模拟与高影响天气可预报性等科研与业务工作。主持科研业务类课题10余项,其中国家自然科学基金2项、广东省自然科学基金2项。获得省部级科技奖励1次,厅局级个人表彰2次。第一/通讯作者发表论文20篇(SCI一区3篇,SCI二区4篇)。担任《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》与《热带气象学报》编委,及QJRMS、MWR、JAMS、AR、CD、SCES等多家知名杂志审稿人。
2003.9~2007.6 南京大学大气科学系 大气科学 学士
2007.9~2012.6 南京大学大气科学学院 气象学 博士
2012.7~2015.9 中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所 助理研究员
2015.9~2020.12 中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所 副科长/副研究员
2020.12~2022.8 中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所 副科长/研究员
2022.8至今 中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所 科长/研究员
【1】 ZHANG Xu-bin, LI Jing-shan, LUO Ya-li, et al. Impacts of Increasing Model Resolutions and Shortening Forecast Lead Times on QPFs in South China During the Rainy Season. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, https://doi.org/10.3724/j.1006-8775.2023.021
【2】 Zhang, X., 2022: Impacts of New Implementing Strategies for Surface and Model Physics Perturbations in TREPS on Forecasts of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 39(11), 1833−1858, doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1222-8
【3】 Zhang, X., 2021b: Impacts of different perturbation methods on multiscale interactions between multisource perturbations for convection-permitting ensemble forecasting during SCMREX. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 147, 3899–3921, doi: 10.1002/qj.4160
【4】 Zhang, X., 2021a: Case Dependence of Multiscale Interactions between Multisource Perturbations for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting during SCMREX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 1853–1871, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0316.1
【5】 Zhang, X., and M. Chen, 2019: Assimilation of Data Derived from Optimal-member Products of TREPS for Convection-Permitting TC Forecasting over Southern China. Atmosphere, 10, 84, doi: 10.3390/atmos10020084.
【6】 Zhang, X., 2019: Multi-scale Characteristics of Different-Source Perturbations and their Interactions for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting during SCMREX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 291–310, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0218.1
【7】 Zhang, X., 2018b: Application of a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Prediction System to Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts over Southern China: Preliminary Results during SCMREX. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 144, 2842–2862, doi: 10.1002/qj.3411
【8】 Zhang, X., 2018a: A GRAPES-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system for tropical cyclone forecasting: configuration and performance. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 144, 478–498, doi: 10.1002/qj.3220.
【9】 Zhang, X., Y. L. Luo, Q. L. Wan, W. Y. Ding, and J. X. Sun, 2016: Impact of Assimilating Wind Profiling Radar Observations on Convection-Permitting Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts during SCMREX. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1271-1292.
【10】 张旭斌, 万齐林,薛纪善,丁伟钰等,风廓线雷达资料质量控制及其同化应用.气象学报,2015,73(1):159-176.
【11】 Zhang Xu-bin, Wan Qi-lin, Xue Ji-shan, et al. The Impact of Different Physical Processes and Their Parameterizations on forecast of a Heavy Rainfall in South China in Pre-Flooding Season. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 2015,21(2):194-210.
【12】 Zhang Xu-bin, Tan Zhe-min. Influence of Different-Scale Errors Interactions on Analysis and Forecast of Regional NWP Model. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 2015,21(4):374-388.
【13】 Zhang Xu-bin, Tan Zhe-min. On The Optimal Background Error Covariances: Different Scale Errors’ Contribution. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 2013,19(4):305-321.
【14】 张旭斌, 薛纪善,万齐林,丁伟钰等.时间依赖的多尺度背景误差协方差研究I——构造.热带气象学报,2014, 30(4):675-686.
【15】 张旭斌, 薛纪善,万齐林,丁伟钰等.时间依赖的多尺度背景误差协方差研究II——应用.热带气象学报,2015b, 31(2):161-172.
【16】 张旭斌, 张熠. 一次华南暴雨过程的数值模拟——中尺度对流系统形成发展机制.气象科学,2011, 31(2):145-152.
【17】SHI Yang, ZHANG Xu-bin, DAI Guang-feng, YANG Zhao-li, TU Jing, CHEN Zi-tong, 2023: Forecast Performance of the Pre-operational CMA-TRAMS (EPS) in South China During April - September 2020. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 29(2), 236−251, https://doi.org/10.46267/j.1006-8775.2023.019
【18】Li J., Z. Zhang, L. Liu, X. Zhang*, et al., 2021: The Simulation of Five Tropical Cyclones by Sample Optimization of Ensemble Forecasting Based on the Observed Track and Intensity. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38(10), 1763−1777, doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0353-2.
【19】Li J., Xiao H., Ding W., Zhang X.*, et al. 2021: Key Deviation Analysis of Initial Fields on Ensemble Forecast in South China during the Rainfall Event of May 21, 2020. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 27(4), 418–427. doi: 10.46267/j.1006-8775.2021.036.
【20】肖柳斯,张华龙,张旭斌,冯璐,谌志刚,戴光丰.基于CMA-TRAMS 集合预报的“5·22”极端降水事件可预报性分析. 气象学报,2021, 79(6): 956-976。
【21】 Liu, D., Zhang, X., Feng, Y., et al., 2018: Analysis of Uncertainties in Forecasts of Typhoon Soudelor (2015) from Ensemble Prediction Models. SOLA, 14, 203–209, doi: 10.2151/sola.2018-036.
2015年获“中国气象局气象部门青年英才”称号(省部级人才工程)
2013年获“广东省气象局后汛期暨台风‘天兔’重大气象服务先进个人”称号
2014年获“广东省气象局青年英才”称号(厅局级人才工程)
2015年获“广东省科学技术二等奖(排名15)”
2016年获“中国气象年会优秀论文奖”
2018年获“天河之星”优秀应用入围奖
2019年获“2018年度重大气象服务先进个人”
2020年获“广东省气象科学创新奖”二等奖(排名1)